HCH 1.86% 82.0¢ hot chili limited

HCH Valuation Revisions/Updates & Copper Peer Analysis, page-10

  1. 262 Posts.
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    August Resource Corp had about 2.4Mt of copper and a bit more molybdenum than us but no gold. it was bought by hostile take over in 2014 for US$555m, which is a bit over AUD$700m. Some commentators were surprised that offer was accepted. Use that to put HCHs value into perspective. Copper prices were around $3.25 then not over $4 like now.

    Say we get to 4.8Mt over the next 2 years (add about 1.9Mt from Nth Cortadera), you can see how this company in 2-3 years time would be taken over for at least $1bil at a minimum. i reckon this is a 5 bagger at the minimum for our $140m market cap, 10x looks like the maximum upside
    Last edited by sampearso10: 23/03/21
 
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