ORG 1.52% $9.68 origin energy limited

News: ORG Origin Energy Revises FY21 Energy Markets Underlying EBITDA In Range Of $940-$1,020..., page-40

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    I read the report again

    so a loss of profit around $40 million for year and around $80 million year two because of higher volume with BPT

    this is baked in - past tense

    lower earning may be up to $100 million because of lower wholesale electricity price. So let’s assume it is at the worst case scenario

    meanwhile an upgrade from $575 million to a $650+ million on ALNG which is locked in worth of $75 million upside.

    implies a net difference of $35 million loss as a result of the arbitration. Assuming worst case realised from BPT deal

    someone correct me if I’m wrong

    i just added sold half my BPT and bought the same in ORG
 
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