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29/06/21
23:41
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Originally posted by bellenuit
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The problem is that you don't have a clue about statistics. No you don't double your chance of getting the virus. That would be a correct interpretation if 50% of the over 50s were vaccinated and 50% weren't vaccinated. But 85% of the over 50s have been vaccinated compared to 15% unvaccinated. So if the vaccine was completely ineffective, you would expect deaths to be in the ratio 85/15 (5.7 to 1) for those vaccinated. If the vaccine increased your chances of dying, they ratio would be above 5.7 to 1. The fact that this limited sample shows they are just 2 to 1, shows the vaccine is working.
You don't know how to use the base stats.
Before any people were vaccinated, the percentage of deaths of vaccinated people compared to unvaccinated was 0%. Should 100% vaccinations be reached, there will still be deaths due to breakthroughs, but the percentage of deaths of people vaccinated compared to unvaccinated will be 100%. So as vaccinations rates increase, the percentage of deaths that are of vaccinated people moves gradually from 0% to 100%. That is just simple math which you are completely misinterpreting.
So long as the percentage of those who die that have been vaccinated is less than the percentage of the population that is vaccinated, then the vaccines have a positive effect in reducing deaths.
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Unfortunately we do not have any data on the proportion of vaccinated people who catch the virus. So we do not know what protection the vaccine offers to the delta virus, if any? All we can say is: if you are vaccinated and you get infected with the delta virus, your chance of dying is nearly twice as high than if you remain unvaccinated.
Last edited by
kacy :
29/06/21