Agreed that "perspective" is king.
But I'm not so sure that it will work out to 10-15% dilution.
If NHC goes gangbusters and returns a 20c div each year till 2026 (quite possible given the coal futures), then the notes could be converted at about $1.10 per share, making it 181m new shares.
That's about 22% dilution. Real black hat thinking, I know.
I have had experience with the SOL group going back to the mid-80's in the days of IEL, Adsteam etc. Some good, some not so.
On one hand, I admire them for their performance from a rag-tag group of mid-quality assets, yet occasionally the line is crossed and the losers are inevitably the non-family shareholders. On more than one occasion, I have promised never to go near, again. An entry price of $1.16 into NHC was too tempting.
My fear is that the sheer complexity of this whole deal masks the underlying intention. I hope I'm wrong.
But hope is not a viable investment strategy.
When my price target is reached, I'm out, thanks.
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- Ann: Sale of New Hope Shares & Entry into Long Equity Derivative
NHC
new hope corporation limited
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$4.41

Ann: Sale of New Hope Shares & Entry into Long Equity Derivative, page-21
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Last
$4.41 |
Change
0.020(0.46%) |
Mkt cap ! $3.708B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$4.35 | $4.41 | $4.33 | $6.630M | 1.512M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1000 | $4.39 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$4.41 | 31773 | 8 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 3882 | 4.400 |
2 | 2797 | 4.390 |
4 | 33976 | 4.380 |
12 | 64425 | 4.370 |
3 | 14089 | 4.360 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
4.410 | 64116 | 9 |
4.420 | 54534 | 19 |
4.430 | 69476 | 13 |
4.440 | 24905 | 8 |
4.450 | 33384 | 6 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 07/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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NHC (ASX) Chart |