AGY 0.00% 3.8¢ argosy minerals limited

Ann: Rincon EIA Update for 10,000TPA Expansion, page-35

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  1. 14,033 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8530
    Here's a forecast from BMI, from Q4 2020.

    IIRC their previous combined chart presented a total (Carbonate + Hyd) shortfall in 2030 of a bit over 1Mtpa.
    From that basis, you can roughly work out what the y-axis scale is on these charts:
    (the 2030 Carb shortfall is roughly 400ktpa, and the 2030 Hyd shortfall is roughly 800ktpa..?)


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3390/3390813-217085b07c5cd2deea255d727f88973f.jpg


    There has also been a bit of back-and-forth between batteries favouring carb vs Hyd lately, so the proportions do seem to fluctuate a bit...
    In any case, what they are saying is this:
    There is a snowflake's chance in hell that the supply side can keep up with forecast demand, due primarily to the lack of investment (in new mines) to-date, coupled with the long lead time required to bring new operations to production.

    Buckle up


    Last edited by GCar: 23/07/21
 
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