To help myself gain a better understanding of the Spectur weighted pipeline numbers I just had a play around with Excel using ...
The figures Spectur gave yesterday in the report:
Unweighted Pipeline $5.62m - Weighted Pipeline $2.33m
And the Spectur table of probabilities:
https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02414822-6A1047909?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4
Here is one possible set of MADE UP data (in purple) that would result in the pipeline totals given.
[Note there are infinite possible sets that would give the totals - this is just one set - which gave me a better perspective around the weighted pipeline.]
I appreciate the effort Spectur has given to clarify this, and to give this information, given the fact that the ASX has clamped down on spec stocks giving any form of projections or details of small (but possibly significant) account wins.
And, as @Klogg has just posted, these numbers augur well for the prospect of Spectur's MC growing fairly rapidly for those invested long term.
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