BKW 1.29% $26.66 brickworks limited

Ann: Impact on BKW of SOL announcement, page-29

  1. 187 Posts.
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    I used to do my head in trying to work out the cross ownership and the correct way to value SOL and BKW. I'll paste calculations I posted in 2018 on HC but...

    Essentially if company A consists of $100 in cash and company B consists of $100 in cash, then if the two companies merged company AB would consist of $200 cash.

    If each had a 50% interest in the other you could not simply say company A is now worth $150 and company B is worth $150 because if they merged they would only have a combined worth of $200 not $300.

    To solve the problem requires complicated maths involving simultaneous equations - I went through it in 2018 using figures current at the time which I have pasted below..



    (FROM 2018)
    I've just gone over this with a VCE maths student, so here goes!


    BKW = Property + Building + 0.47SOL


    SOL = Investments + 0.44BKW

    Putting some guesstimates in the equation...

    BKW property is worth 750m and building products about 350m

    SOL's investments other than BKW are worth about 4400m


    BKW = 750 + 350 + 0.47 SOL


    SOL = 4400 + 0.44BKW


    Using the scientific calculator...


    BKW = 3994m (Current MC = 2448m)


    SOL = 6157m (Current MC = 6600m)


    Now,

    BKW = 3994m = 750 + 350 + (0.47 x 6157)

    and

    SOL = 6157m = 4400 + (0.44 x 3994)


    Which suggests to me that if SOL's MC at 6600m is reasonable then BKW is seriously undervalued...

    (BKW MC today is $3849m and SOL MC today is $9528m)
 
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