if,
1)poo is $US85 by christmas
2)equipment is locked in and possibly even heading towards T & Y
3) no further issues with Galoc (fully expect a few days off downtime between now and christmas but nothing major)
4) no distressed fund mangers selling down the stock
sp = >$0.30 - $0.40
and if,
5) strategic partner is annouced before christmas
sp = >$0.60 - $0.80
but, if
1) further issues with Galoc
2) delays with getting T & Y online
3) further selling by distressed fund managers
sp = probably not much different from today - $0.20
thats my guess!
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