NXS 15.8% 22.0¢ next science limited

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    Major Points

     NXS are set to spud the first of two wells in the offshore
    Gippsland Basin in late October. NXS will retain 37.5% of its
    VIC/P54 offshore permit in return for Apache assuming
    operatorship and funding 94% the wells for a 62.5% interest.
     The first well, the Longtom-2 appraisal well could be worth
    ~35cps (fully diluted) to NXS if the estimated P50 recoverable
    gas reserves of 251 bcf are present. The high case P10
    reserves of 481 bcf would value NXS at >65cps if achieved.
     The Longtom gas field was discovered by BHP in 1995 but
    was considered sub-commercial (70-120 bcf) at the time due
    to the lack of maturity of the gas markets and the interpreted
    reservoir quality. A 386m gas column was intersected in the
    Emperor Formation in Longtom-1 and ST1 and no gas-water
    contact was intersected due to drilling problems encountered
    - suggesting deeper reservoir potential exists.
     The 104 mmbbl Grayling oil exploration prospect will be the
    second well drilled following Longtom-2. Grayling is a well
    defined 3D structure analogous to the large Turrum field 7km
    to the south with a main reservoir objective in the Intra-Latrobe
    Formation. Conservatively, every 10mmbbls of recoverable oil
    discovered by the VIC/P54 JV will equate to ~14cps to NXS.
     A $5.5m placement coupled with a 90% take-up in its July 31
    $0.18 options raising $4.4m has enabled NXS to be funded
    for its share of forecast exploration and G & G work for the
    FY’05. NXS currently has $10m cash.
     Apache have an exclusive option to farm in to the VIC/P56
    permit (NXS 100%, 40km SE of VIC/P54), due to expire in
    early October. NXS anticipates drilling a VIC/P56 oil prospect
    in the June H’05 - Haddock, a 50 mmbbl target looks the likely
    candidate. We anticipate NXS will ensure a 2:1 farmout on the
    permit, i.e. retain 50% free-carried.
     An airborne gravity survey has been acquired over NXS’s 100%
    owned NT/P66 permit with the aim of ensuring future seismic
    is focused over the more prospective areas of the permit
    (proximal to salt structures). We anticipate NXS will acquire a
    2D seismic suite before farming out to a major next CY.
     Near term activity in the VIC/P39 permit (NXS 100%) will
    include acquisition and interpretation of 2D seismic with the
    aim of proving up and drilling one of the two current leads,
    Galloway (30mmbbls) and Angus (25mmbbls) in the Dec H’05.
    We anticipate NXS will continue to add to its three Gippsland
    permits as opportunities arise.
     NXS exhibits sensational leverage to exploration in a proven
    large scale petroleum province. The Apache farm-in endorses
    the NXS strategy and adds confidence on prospectivity and
    gas marketing potential. Despite the recent shareprice
    outperformance we anticipate the shareprice has further upside
    before drilling commences in October.
 
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Last
22.0¢
Change
0.030(15.8%)
Mkt cap ! $64.27M
Open High Low Value Volume
19.5¢ 22.0¢ 19.0¢ $29.19K 135.8K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 80000 22.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
25.0¢ 28990 2
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