I think you could be right about the price and discount. The AGM presentation showed an average realised price in the 1st quarter at US$118 / dmt. Realistically this could be about $100 in the 2nd quarter.
I'm working on $1-$1.25 personally, but like you will be very pleasantly surprised if its higher.
FMG Feb 2022 Div Guesses, page-10
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