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AmbrosePethick

18,607 Posts.

13/04/22

12:34

Post #: 60829107
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Originally posted by Dochico: ↑

I didn't say there had been a commercial rollout.

If I recall correctly, DARPA got involved with the project in 2020, so it is hard to get information on the progress out of the US Defence machine.

If I had to guess, a new semiconductor device based on a novel material stack that potentially doesn't involve silicon would probably take about 10 years to get to a commercialisation stage. But that would be for use in Defence applications where it gives a unique deployable capability.

Maybe another 5 years on top of that to make it cost effective for consumers.

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Maybe some time in the next five years a cure for cancer will be developed.

Maybe some time in the next five years aliens will visit earth.

Maybe some time in the next five years ...... etc etc.
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