AJQ armour energy limited

Ann: Noteholders Approve Amendments to Secured Amortising Notes, page-8

  1. 426 Posts.
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    Hi Hawthorn,
    I've said this before a couple months ago but I believe this company is likely to go into administration.
    They are a loss making producer of gas, who will not be able to become profitable no matter the gas price as they are on a fixed price contract.
    They also have a loss making exploration arm which sucks up more cash.
    They also have less than 1 quarters worth of cash and a large pile of debt.
    They do not have the ability to raise material amounts of equity and if they absolutely needed to, it would essentially be a recapitalisation and you'd get wiped out because they'd need to raise at such a large discount to the current price.
    The senior bonds are trading at a price that suggests the company is very distressed.
    At one point in time I was a creditor of the company but sold my position, so I have no interest in whether they succeed or fail, however I remain curious because I believe they will fall into adminstration and find the process interesting to watch.
 
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