“Although many pundits refer to the ‘unexpected’ victory of the Scott Morrison-led L-NP at the 2019 Federal Election, in reality, the polls – including the Roy Morgan Poll – were a lot closer three years ago. In early May 2019 the Roy Morgan Poll consistently showed the ALP had a narrow two-party preferred lead of ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% - within the margin of error.
“Although many pundits refer to the ‘unexpected’ victory of the Scott Morrison-led L-NP at the 2019 Federal Election, in reality, the polls – including the Roy Morgan Poll – were a lot closer three years ago. In early May 2019 the Roy Morgan Poll consistently showed the ALP had a narrow two-party preferred lead of ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% - within the margin of error.
“The L-NP made a late surge three years ago and increased their two-party preferred vote by 2.5% points over the last two weeks of the campaign. A similar swing for the L-NP now would not be enough for the L-NP to retain Government at next week’s Federal Election."
LNP would need a swing of 5%, that is outside the margin of error. Suggest you join Scomo at the Hillsong church to pray for a miracle
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Latest Morgan Poll 10th May, page-11
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