Ctindale,
I for one agree with the outline of your forecast... If gold was in the early stages of a bubble blow off I'd expect it to be consolidating a levels close to the high and not letting the cheap skates (like myself!) in.
For usdgold I was thinking perhaps a 50% drop or better since if it's not in a bubble I expect it to be subject to the same deflationary forces as everything else.
The audgold chart is much neater from a technical point of view... The trend is ambiguous and could just as easily be up as down but I tend to lean towards the downtrend conclusion and will wait for a heavy trough before placing my inflation hedge.
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