News: FOREX-Dollar falls against yen as investors reassess U.S. rate hike outlook

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    (Updates to early U.S. trading, changes byline, dateline, previous LONDON)

    • Dollar at lowest level since mid-June against yen
    • Aussie dollar up
    • Euro also gains as dollar falls

    The U.S. dollar was at its lowest level since mid-June against the Japanese yen on Monday as investors weighed the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates as aggressively as some had expected.

    The U.S. dollar index =USD was volatile after data showed U.S. manufacturing activity slowed less than expected in July. But a key report for investors this week will be the U.S. jobs report on Friday.

    "It's the beginning of a new month, and the real focus is on the possibility that the Fed slows down its rate hikes," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.

    "The big focus is on the jobs market at the end of the week, and that's likely to confirm that the improvement in the labor market is moderating," he said. "But pre-COVID, it would still be regarded as a very robust number."

    The dollar index is up about 10% for the year so far following investor expectations of aggressive Fed rate hikes.

    "After a big move, I think we're really consolidating," Chandler said. Last week, the dollar crumbled against the yen, and two-year yields in the U.S. Treasury market also fell, after data showed the U.S. economy shrank for a second straight quarter.

    The dollar sank to its lowest level versus the yen since mid-June JPY=EBS , and was down from a late 1998 peak of nearly 140 yen which it hit last month. The dollar was last down 1.1% at 131.74.

    The dollar index was last at 105.26, down 0.7%. The broad weakness in the dollar helped the euro EUR=EBS , which was up 0.5% at $1.0273. Currency investors were also watching news on U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi's expected visit to Taiwan. Pelosi was set to visit Taiwan on Tuesday, two people briefed on the matter said, according to a Reuters report. China has warned that its military would never "sit idly by" if she visited the self-ruled island claimed by Beijing.

    The Aussie dollar AUD=D3 rose 0.6% to $0.7036 before a central bank rate hike on Tuesday.

    ======================================================== 
    	Currency bid prices at 11:44AM (1544 GMT) 
    
     Description	  RIC		 Last		   U.S. Close  Pct Change	 YTD Pct	   High Bid	Low Bid 
    											  Previous				   Change					
    											  Session											  
     Dollar index	  =USD	   105.2600	   105.9900	-0.67%		 10.032%	   +106.0100   +105.2300 
     Euro/Dollar	   EUR=EBS	$1.0273		$1.0227	 +0.46%		 +0.00%		+$1.0275	+$1.0195 
     Dollar/Yen		JPY=EBS	131.7350	   133.2200	-1.14%		 +0.00%		+133.5550   +131.6000 
     Euro/Yen		  EURJPY=	135.33		 136.19	  -0.63%		 +0.00%		+136.3400   +135.0200 
     Dollar/Swiss	  CHF=EBS	0.9484		 0.9518	  -0.34%		 +0.00%		+0.9531	 +0.9483 
     Sterling/Dollar   GBP=D3	 $1.2269		$1.2184	 +0.72%		 +0.00%		+$1.2292	+$1.2165 
     Dollar/Canadian   CAD=D3	 1.2829		 1.2796	  +0.26%		 +0.00%		+1.2831	 +1.2767 
     Aussie/Dollar	 AUD=D3	 $0.7036		$0.6991	 +0.63%		 +0.00%		+$0.7047	+$0.6969 
     Euro/Swiss		EURCHF=	0.9744		 0.9728	  +0.16%		 +0.00%		+0.9758	 +0.9714 
     Euro/Sterling	 EURGBP=	0.8372		 0.8393	  -0.25%		 +0.00%		+0.8399	 +0.8356 
     NZ				NZD=D3	 $0.6345		$0.6290	 +0.85%		 +0.00%		+$0.6352	+$0.6278 
     Dollar/Dollar																					 
    
     Dollar/Norway	 NOK=D3	 9.5950		 9.6700	  -0.73%		 +0.00%		+9.6860	 +9.5880 
     Euro/Norway	   EURNOK=	9.8627		 9.8783	  -0.16%		 +0.00%		+9.9240	 +9.8402 
     Dollar/Sweden	 SEK=	   10.0837		10.1386	 -0.12%		 +0.00%		+10.1913	+10.0762 
     Euro/Sweden	   EURSEK=	10.3573		10.3699	 -0.12%		 +0.00%		+10.4065	+10.3473 
    	<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 
    World FX rates	https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E 
    

    FX positions https://tmsnrt.rs/3biYWG7

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