XJO - Bear Posts only (Factors which might cause the markets to fall), page-4041

Hi all,


Has the USA market factored into it's index price the chances of a recession ?

Has it factored in a long deep recession or a mild recession ?

If one has the ability to price that , where should we be now ?

Have people factored in the Cape 10 Index, the Baltic Dry Index, the S&P short interest index, the market sentiment indicator, the 27% probability of a recession ( Fed Res Cleveland 28/08), the absolute lack of business investment in the last 1/4 as a % of USA GDP, forgettable about how the markets perform in the mid term elections, also forgetting about the NAAIM index, the % of Corporate client buy backs that has fallen ? 30% , USA home sales down 20% , USA housing prices down.

There is more by far, but I am sick of typing.

As ewebute says beware !

I have been trading for decades.

Caveat Emptor.