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Ann: Trading Halt, page-18

  1. 270 Posts.
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    Fair points and it can go one of two ways. The SP stays the same or goes down = have to raise equity to pay down the con notes and ultimately worse off. The SP goes up = raise at a higher equity vs the current SP and better off, with a cap of the con note strike price.

    So it is a (risky) play on a higher SP. The question management would be asking is, will the SP be higher than here in the next x months?

    "meaningful full profitable production" is a neat segue into one play where a con note makes a lot of sense and that is using these funds to accelerate mining at White Dam. At a $26m EV and holding 100% of 1.7m oz in Australia, there is a lot of room upwards if White Dam starts to produce meaningful ounces. The plant has a track record now of running extremely lean, I mean WD are cash flow positive on 2 koz/a! The question then is what is the cost to dig up the dirt from Vertigo. They have had a mining study underway for over 12 months now so they surely know this number.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4657/4657391-c4279249657647514eaf953de76a95be.jpg
    Let's see what management's strategy is here, but White Dam is actually an excellent fall back in a weak equity market. Even if Vertigo only holds 40-50 koz once they release updated JORC, that's plenty cash flow for an ultra low cost operation like WD.

 
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