Probability of failure, page-2

But why are you asking these questions?
Remember you told us you are a sophisticated investor who is smarter than every single person here?
For someone who only started posting here a week ago it seems as if you really want the price to crash so you can scoop up cheap shares.
Dr Stuart lake has a 90% success rate in over 300 wells. He wouldn't be on the IVZ BOD if he didn't think the success rate is "lower then 10%" as you are spruking here daily.
These next few weeks are going to be great. Especially when some holders here become richer than you Mr soph.