IMO Russia has had nearly 9 months to step up its production
of cruise missiles and heavy artillery munitions so its strategy
over the winter seems to be to bomb the lard out of the
Ukraine while strategically retreating from territory difficult
to defend.
Will this drive the Ukraine to the negotiating table before
Russia has had to withdraw from Ukraine territory?
Who knows? War is an uncertain enterprise and circumstances
can radically change from month to month.
Given that the Ukraine is now nearly fully dependant of foreign aid,
the continuation and nature of that aid is crucial for the Ukraine's
success and rumblings in the GOP post the Midterm election does
not sound good for the Ukraine. The far Right of the GOP will
have to be convinced that continuing aid to the Ukraine is
"Putting America First"
The other headwind against Ukrainian aid is Europe's
working class who is being economically stressed with
inflation, most of which is Ukraine war related.The Poms are
the worst hit in this respect, IMO.with the UK being virtually
in recession already.
