Upon conversion (and after Buyback), I estimate ~773m shares on issue (assuming all URFPA holders DRP @ 10day VWAP of 26.5)
Latest quarterly shows net assets at $497m AUD at 0.69c (now $511m at 0.67c).
Take out $10m for Buyback - approx $500m net assets remaining (AUD)
If you assume a 3 year period of selling down properties at an annual cost of $15m per annum (and other cash flows at BE) - that should result in ~$450m across 773m shares on issue, or 58.2c per share
On a price of 27c, the upside is ~115%. That's approximately 29% CAGR.
This does not incorporate:
1) Drop in asset values (the most obvious, given rates)
2) A change in FX rates
3) Any impacts from further buybacks
4) Any externalization of fund operations.
5) The possibility management change their approach and no longer want to return $$ (unlikely given the register)
Seems like minimal downside to me.
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Last
31.0¢ |
Change
-0.010(3.13%) |
Mkt cap ! $222.3M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
32.0¢ | 32.0¢ | 31.0¢ | $22.31K | 70.04K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 252476 | 31.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
31.5¢ | 239687 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 252476 | 0.310 |
1 | 98360 | 0.305 |
1 | 20000 | 0.300 |
1 | 33898 | 0.295 |
1 | 2000 | 0.290 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.315 | 239687 | 3 |
0.320 | 468537 | 5 |
0.325 | 327143 | 4 |
0.330 | 377738 | 4 |
0.335 | 20000 | 1 |
Last trade - 12.08pm 07/08/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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