No...I dont but only because I have no confidence...ZERO confidence...in the battlefield reports of casualties and strategies coming out of either side.
I wouldn't even suggest the article I posted was accurate...just found it an interesting read.
The only things I'm sure of are:
- Casualties are high both in the military and civilian populations
- We have no idea of the real #'s
- Peace, as an alternative, is not on the table whereas it should have been from the get-go
- Nuclear outcomes demand a solution as Ukraine is not the hill I choose to die on
- Biden et al have a vested interest in this to
- enrich its donors
- strategically, given they have half their face towards China...to deplete Russia as a force that they would need to face if china pops off and
- a regime change in Russia
- However it ends, it will not include Russia returning entirely back to its borders
And.... another 1,000 pages on this thread on HC
I might add...I havent seen an analysis of what would happen in Russia if there WAS a regime change.
- Who would take P place... a hawk or a dove?
- Who would be in charge of the nuclear stockpiles?
And where in recent times has a regime change led to a good outcome?