CYM 2.70% 3.6¢ cyprium metals limited

why CYM is a Billion $ company in the making, page-2792

  1. 315 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 521
    Whilst I've been largely absent from these forums as I've been on vacation overseas these past few months; keeping up to date with everything has been interesting, and I truly appreciate the constant posts and updates from everyone..

    The recent rerate is likely attributed to a combination of a copper price, exchange rate, and the likelihood of finance news dropping end of January / sometime February. Realistically, should finance be successful; these prices are gonna be seen as an absolute bargain in 12 months time.

    Currently copper's $4USD/lb, and with a solid FFX rate of $0.69USD per AUD (or $1.45 AUD/ USD).

    CYM's annual production of 25,000t converted to lb = 25,000x2204.6 = 55,115,000lb per year.

    Assuming costs have increased from $USD $2.82/lb to $3.00/lb...

    We can expected roughly $55,115,000 USD per year; converted to AUD, that's $79,916,750 per year...

    Now; this is off a $1/lb margin. Should copper increase to $5/lb, this figure's simply doubled to $159,833,500 per year.

    Personally I'm still very bullish on copper going beyond $4/lb in 2023/24. Furthermore, I believe Bazza and the team's operating knowledge can bring C3 costs to USD $2.82/lb, or maybe even lower; so there is plenty of margin with the aforementioned figures.

    An appropriate market cap for ~$80m upwards to $160m a year would be $800m to $1.6billion in favourable economic conditions.

    At a minimum however, we can effectively double AR1's currently attributed market cap to arrive at $305m. (CYM producing 25,000tpa versus AR1 producing 12,000tpa). Now there are some major differences, which is why I assume this to be a minimum valuation, such as CYM's superior LoM and CYM's upcoming Maroochydore or Murchison Copper projects; each of which are potentially viable 25,000tpa+ mines.

    tldr; minimum 41c per share price based off AR1's current valuation; or upwards of $1.09 to $2.19 per share in favourable economic conditions; purely from 25,000tpa production... Double, triple or even quadruple these figures long term (Potential is 80,000tpa to 100,000tpa; see below).

    Time stamp: 36:50

    Eyes on the prize...

 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add CYM (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
3.6¢
Change
-0.001(2.70%)
Mkt cap ! $54.93M
Open High Low Value Volume
3.7¢ 3.7¢ 3.6¢ $15.41K 427.3K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
4 415164 3.6¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
3.8¢ 30000 1
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 25/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
CYM (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.