This is my optimistic, purely speculative guess.
- Positive permit decision = Crack the ATH and land somewhere around $2.5
- Follow up news about funding on good terms = $3+
- Follow up news about binding offtakes (or sales news in general) on good terms = $3.5+
- Follow up news about offtakes AND funding on good terms = $4-5+
- SP to hang around $3-5 until 2024.
- During 2024, production numbers start coming out and the SP will eventually come to find some parity with the actual revenue/expenses?
- Estimates show a year of production at 19,500Kt/pa would justify a SP of about $6.5 by the end of 2024.
- For every additional 10Kt/pa from this point forward (2024-2025), add roughly $3 to the SP.
TLG - Media, page-11608
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