@drifter16 . . great link and prompts today's pinder post.
the CC talk of black swan events . . for those not familiar with the term, these are often used in risk management analysis to tey and identify events that are basically unforeseen and unimaginable. the term comes from when the brits landed in WA and saw black swans . . you see, europeans only ever knew of white swans and believed swans could only be white, so when they saw a black swan, they literally saif . . well f##k me . . I didn't see that coming . . swans can be black.
anyway . . back to risk management. black swans type event for wbt:
stray missile blows up wbt hd office killing the entire board and 80% of staff
and at the same time, the french govt takes leti private, and it is sold to tsmc, and wbt loses all access to research
that is the sort of Black Swan thinking
ok the cool part . . are you ready?
black swan events can also be positive?
GF and GM sign agreement wanting wbt reram to be in all GM vehicles by 2026 . .
so the black swan issue is then can we resource and do the tech work in timeline to deliver that.
unknowns in business are just that . . unknown. just remember unknowns can come from both sides ;-)
. negative and positive.
happy friday.
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