To put some perspective into how cheap this stock is - I suggest just ONE, one shipment of spodumene......would equate to fair value for this stock, on an annualised price to earnings ratio basis.
That shipment - it looks like, might be as soon as 6 to 8 weeks away (info, photographs coming through this chatline)......so in simple terms, NO further shipments would be required for 12 months - to still put the company on a PE of 10 - and CXO appropriately priced at current SP levels. (on this first and single shipment alone).
Incredible really - but the above comments do deserve some further analysis.
All that my calculations require - is say, this particular first shipment to be 30,000 tons at current pricing....or $180m profit, for the first shipment.
In fact, the pricing used of A$ 6,000 PT nett profit.....is a heavy discount to most recent quoted pricing, from those 2 big spodumene WA exporters.
$180m will be the most value mineral shipment, ever to leave the Darwin Port - and it is very soon, by the looks.
The company had accumulated losses of $28m and capital depreciation options of nearly $80m - up until the end of last financial year alone.
Admittedly these losses and depreciation will not fully cover the tax payable of $180m - on this one shipment, but the illustration is apparent, as to how ridiculously cheap the stock is.
Indeed its an ultra-simple business model - whereby during the course of the next 12 months, it certainly will not be a case of one shipment of 30,000t - but a forecast annual production from the company, of up to 6 x 30,000 ton shopping consignments.
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Last
10.5¢ |
Change
-0.005(4.55%) |
Mkt cap ! $225.0M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
11.0¢ | 11.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $1.015M | 9.421M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
101 | 7932924 | 10.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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11.0¢ | 1975375 | 18 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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101 | 7932924 | 0.105 |
177 | 9235001 | 0.100 |
8 | 298868 | 0.099 |
7 | 109339 | 0.098 |
5 | 107228 | 0.097 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.110 | 1975375 | 18 |
0.115 | 2198772 | 25 |
0.120 | 7158563 | 56 |
0.125 | 4559735 | 62 |
0.130 | 3840170 | 56 |
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