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AverageJoe

43,902 Posts.

1032

02/03/23

10:52

Post #: 66556795
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Originally posted by Crom Valen ↑

So now let's test that...eh?

In your opinion will Russia take Bakhmut in the next month?

I really appreciate your opinion

I think differently to Putinists. I’m not here to make stupid predictions, or to make crazy statements about what will happen - hoping that something eventuates that will vindicate me.

What I will say is that I have faith in whatever the UAF leadership is planning. I believe the strategy at Bakhmut has been to grind up the Russian offensive spearheads - Wagner and VDV units - while Bakhmut itself is manned by a mix of Ukrainian army and territorial units fighting a defensive battle from largely static positions. Ukrainian drone operators and artillery have also been active in grinding up the Wagner and VDV units.

If / when Bakhmut falls, Russia and the on-line propaganda army will proclaim a huge victory - as they did in the aftermath of the taking of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk. But it was after Severodonetsk / Lysychansk that Ukraine launched counter-offensives that liberated thousands of square miles of territory.

You see a war of attrition that will remain like this, with a ‘Russian victory’ at Bakhmut as the significant event that looms. I see Russia taking possession of a heap of rubble after having incurred unsustainable costs, and then I see the war entering a new phase over Spring.

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"If/when Bakhmut falls"?

"Russia taking possession of a heap of rubble"?

You are now buying to the MSM, non strategic Bakhmut. Someone posted Ukie chief mug sending in more recruitments. You even posted a fighter happily driving in sunshine telling supporters all isxall blah blah.

Hole or holds?
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