Hmm. Probably improve accuracy in the dailies, and might explain why I tend to exit early on the multi- day runs (which is how I can loose tens of thousands quickly - when I trade out early then trade back in blind at a higher price because it didn't turn when I expected it to, but then f*'n reverses straight after I trade back in) but intra-day will be a very different story. My approach gives about 90% accuracy on the first wave to third wave intraday (haven't actually tracked it, but when I miss it is a big surprise) and usually matches the prediction from the old flag pole method. The number of times I get the top of the third wave exactly right intra-day I can't count, and if it misses the target on the third wave it almost certainly gets it on the 5th (eg today where it hit the 160% target on the 5th wave but not quite the third - which of course also means the pattern was not an EW pattern). Interestingly, when you do it in reverse on a falling intraday wave it picks the bottom incredibly well - at least for the 3 step correction waves.
So it looks like intraday there are a slightly different set of rules applying and we need a modified EW theory - because using wave 2 as the start for the third wave projection would result in the price being set too high, given my method usually gets the price exactly right. I will however experiment and see whether there ends up being a practical difference between the two intraday, where we are talking whole cents and much smaller ranges (compared to daily movements over tens of cents), which thus has a built in rounding error, that may result in the two approaches yielding essentially the same result when rounded to the cent.
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pilbara minerals limited
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Last
$1.52 |
Change
-0.010(0.66%) |
Mkt cap ! $4.875B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.52 | $1.54 | $1.48 | $58.09M | 38.66M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 83749 | $1.51 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.52 | 191497 | 9 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 7591 | 1.510 |
3 | 36700 | 1.505 |
5 | 56999 | 1.500 |
4 | 40688 | 1.495 |
3 | 32349 | 1.490 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.515 | 45188 | 3 |
1.520 | 364497 | 15 |
1.525 | 103315 | 2 |
1.530 | 238802 | 11 |
1.535 | 6651 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.17pm 04/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Dr Michael Thurn, CEO & MD
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