LLL 0.00% 50.5¢ leo lithium limited

General Discussion, page-4909

  1. 4,100 Posts.
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    @Kikker1959 usual system glitch won't allow me to reply to your post

    You're probably spot on there, once earning the money, it will come down to EBITDA multiples & PE ratios, though I agree with you in that an African based company will be discounted vs an Aust Company. I don't think any holders here expect to get the same valuation as LTR, the point is we are massively undervalued comparatively - so there is a lot of upside potential

    Also agree with your other comment re diversification. I know some investors are one stock holders eg with LTR & PLS, very bad strategy especially considering they are one asset companies, of course that applies more to Leo being based in Africa.

    I know you hold PLS (as I do), would be interested in your comment on the below, as it could have implications for all Lithium developers including Leo & LTR

    The paragraph pasted below is from page 8 of their March Activities report.

    The way I understand it, they are referencing sales made in the March Q (av price received US$4840/t).The sale is recognised when the ship leaves port, but for sales late in the Q, the funds aren't received till the following Q.

    So they are saying $354.2m was shipped in the March Q, but payment is expected in the June Q, the anticipated pricing adjustment brings it down to $202.2m - I assume because of the lower June Q pricing

    That is a 43% reduction on the March Qs $4840 average price.

    I know back in a webinar for the March Q last year, they said they receive good prices because it's based on Chinese domestic pricing, though it has been renegotiated since then. (obviously Chinese domestic prices have crashed - so may not affect other producers)

    The reason I bring this up is because if Producers start reporting crashed prices received when they report in July, it will have implications for all Lithium stocks. Having said that AKE received $6500/t av price last Q and expect to receive $5000/t in the June Q (SC6 based). So nothing like a 43% drop, but it is a 23% reduction. Even if this is the case, it's just one quarter & most expect prices to recover as they are doing now.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5251/5251791-842095d99da78e1388d57befa1ce5176.jpg
 
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