CKA 3.75% 7.7¢ cokal limited

Ann: Development of Infrastructure Supports Ramp-Up of Production, page-139

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  1. 1,227 Posts.
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    not that it changes the game substantially when you have a 10-15 year view.

    but we missed the chance to sell into this due to our delayed ramp up.

    $220 USD on a $120 USD AISC = $100 margins.

    still not bad, but was $150,200 and $300+ for awhile.

    if we got 6 months of it at $300 thats like 18-24 months at current - it would have been a good start.

    ramped up to 1.2MT anually at $75 USD margin = $136million profit annually AUD ---- then whatever our share of that is if its 60% then its $80mill AUD for $150ml MC.

    surely you would value at 3-4x annual profit = $240-$320ml MC = 22-27c

    thats conservative pricing, if margins hold at $90-$100 USD then 27-35c seems reasonable.

    need to see what optimised production run rate tops out at, and where pricing is at the time once we realize some sales

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5292/5292276-6722e812cb857e491336d0f0542d35b4.jpg
 
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