LYC lynas rare earths limited

Deciphering Lynas, page-470

  1. 999 Posts.
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    Qoka, for what it's worth, I updated my own projections and here are the results:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5339/5339577-9f999bec53322e40dcbb26f12ed13fac.jpg

    I can provide details for the base/bull/bear cases if anyone is interested. But in a one-liner: base case includes a slight slump in production in the last quarter of this year, then progressive ramp to Kal rate (Base case NdPr price AU$120, Bull progressively to AU$160, Bear case AU$100).

    My feeling is the risk appetite will increase in the second half of this year, meaning p/e 20 may be very conservative for a growth stock. I'm obviously a bull, and think we will firmly be in the bull territory (turquoise region) for the coming years.. My overall sentiment is we have a much greater chance of exceeding the projections rather than going below.

    Note: does not include US operations, or potential product diversification (which I believe is on the way).

    DYOR
 
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$8.50
Change
-0.385(4.34%)
Mkt cap ! $7.965B
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