CE1 0.00% 0.8¢ calima energy limited

Ann: Company Update, page-213

  1. 1,577 Posts.
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    and here's a summary of the previous zoomy, tu @Access2020

    a 17-21.5c capital return

    Some good insight from the webinar. My takeaways:
    • Offer was for Blackspur
    • Acquirer was a roll-up play with the intention to list on the TSX
    • The plan was to distribute 80-90% of the proceeds to holders and keep the rest in the vehicle
    • Glenn alluded that the price was lower than TSX comps of 2.5-3.5x EV/EBITDA.
    • If Glenn is also saying we're worth 1.5x EBITDA then we have a range. Let's say 2-2.25x. Using CE1's definition of EBITDA of A$66m then roughly that implies an offer price of $132m - $148m (roughly).
    • For those that want a share price equivalent, the above works out to 21.5c to ~24c, plus we keep Montney
    • If the above came off then using the lower bound 80% distribution we'd get AT LEAST a 17c distribution and we'd keep Montney - I'd be happy with that
    • Management also said that they won't 'go it alone' for Montney, so it's JV or sale. JV makes a bit of sense in the event of a large distribution for Blackspur as the proceeds for selling 50% can be put towards the capex, so it's a free carry to production.

 
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