Hi Muzza22, I expected a surge to Labor but not to this extent. I would be interested to see whether the number of undecides dropped in the poll. If it did it could mean a big proportion of the undecided are moving to Labor. It could also be the fact that the proposed reconciliation with Rudd at the time of the poll went down well with voters. I am just speculating here so please take what I say in that context. I will be waiting for Morgans next face to face poll also as I regard that as more accurate than the telephone poll. The next Newspoll is also eagerly awaited to see whether there is a clear trend.
My gut feel is that the election will be tighter than this poll reflects but all the pollsters have now put Labor in front so there could be a trend forming. If next weekends polls are well in front for either party that could be the way of the final result.
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- latest roy morgan poll alp 57.5% libs 42.5%
latest roy morgan poll alp 57.5% libs 42.5%, page-4
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