We know from the Annual Report 2022/2023 the profit margin has increased to 46% in 2023. As we scale up and shift to more e-commerce sales, we should see the profit margin reach 50% and then continue to climb. The MD has done a good job in cutting out middle men who were sucking dry the profits. If you work on a 50% profit margin, $3.6m fixed expenses other than manufacturing you can roughly estimate breakeven at $10.5m annually or at a run rate of $2.65m.
If we assume a current run rate of $800k this quarter then with 40% growth -
Q2 2024 - 800k
Q3 2024 - 1120k
Q4 2024 - 1568k
Q1 2025 - 2195k
Q2 2025 - 3073k
So by the end of next year (first half of the 2025 financial year) with a 50% profit margin (which should grow) and 40% growth across the 4 pillars we will hit the annualised run rate of $10.5m this time next year. If you wait to buy in then the company will have almost 6 bagged or have a MC of closer to $30m.
But it is a speculative buy. I understand that, so waiting for that clear trend might be an option that fits your risk profile better.
A statement like >50% QoQ continually is a misleading and generic. You should at least attempt to quantify it somehow.
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Last
0.8¢ |
Change
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Mkt cap ! $17.63M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | $13.93K | 1.741M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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23 | 15854682 | 0.8¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.9¢ | 7144124 | 9 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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23 | 15854682 | 0.008 |
29 | 6728706 | 0.007 |
5 | 2433166 | 0.006 |
4 | 1522200 | 0.005 |
4 | 9386969 | 0.004 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.009 | 7144124 | 9 |
0.010 | 6392778 | 12 |
0.011 | 9911320 | 12 |
0.012 | 8868237 | 7 |
0.013 | 8588820 | 7 |
Last trade - 13.41pm 18/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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