CLE 0.00% 0.1¢ cyclone metals limited

something to wet your appetites

  1. 28 Posts.
    To all holders of CFE, something of interest from my broker.

    Cape Lambert Ltd (CFE)
    Value Drivers are Mounting Up Initiating Coverage
    CFE is an ASX listed, Perth based resources investment company with a geographically
    diverse portfolio of exploration and development projects spanning a number of
    commodities, but mainly concentrated in iron ore, gold, copper and uranium. The
    investment strategy is to acquire and invest in undervalued or distressed resource assets.

    CFE have demonstrated a proven strategy of generating shareholder value through the
    distribution of special dividends, in-specie distributions in new companies to existing
    shareholders and asset sales that have resulted significant cash assets. We expect this
    to continue over the next 12-18 months and initiate coverage with a Buy recommendation
    on the basis that the sum of parts valuation is greater than the current market value.
    Key Points

    The current share price equals CFE s cash and cash receivables and therefore CFE s
    considerable project portfolio is not given any value in the market. We believe this situation
    will be redressed and a re-rating will occur when asset sales begin to realise significant
    increases in cash.

    We value CFE with a 12 month price target of $0.80 per share. We assume that within the
    next 12-18 months, the value proposition presented by the Marampa and Mayoko deposits
    will become clear once cash has been realised for these project through asset sales.We also envisage that value for the Sappes Gold Project in Greece would have realised and
    other potential corporate transactions involving other assets in the CFE portfolio would have
    been advanced.

    The Marampa Iron Ore Project and the recently acquired Mayoko Iron Ore Project in Sierra
    Leone and Republic of Congo respectively differ from some large +1 billion tonne peer
    projects in West Africa due to their proximity to infrastructure which can be readily up-graded
    or refurbished, without the requirement for very large CAPEX requirements.

    CFE are progressing activities that add significant value to these projects with a view towards asset
    sales to derive value for shareholders.
    We believe CFE are looking to find a buyer for the Sappes Gold Project in Greece, which
    should be aided by the completion of an update to the Feasibility Study and approvals from
    the Greek authorities on the EIS. Once this issue is resolved we estimate that a potential
    purchaser would see the project as significantly de-risked.
    Rock phosphate and base metals projects in Queensland provide additional scope for
    corporate transactions and we would expect to see some activity on these projects over the
    next 18 months.

    We believe the Board and management team at CFE are aggressive and have a very clear
    understanding of their strategy to deliver shareholder value. A significant portfolio of
    interests over a number of commodities provides flexibility in asset selection and the growing
    balance sheet will provide the funding to drive value add activities over a number of projects
    in the future.
    30 July 2010

    Projects CFE Equity Valuation A$/Share
    % ($m)
    Marampa, Sierra Leone Iron Ore 100 700 mt 91 0.15
    Mayoko, Rep. Congo Iron Ore 100 900 mt 117 0.19
    Sappes, Greece Gold 100 829 Kozs 50 0.08
    Lady Loretta, Australia Zinc - Lead 25 13.7 mt 25 0.04
    Leichhardt, Australia Copper 100 8..2 mt 25 0.04
    Australis, Australia Rock Phosphate 100 na 20 0.03
    Project Sub-total 328 0.52
    Investments
    Listed Equities 28 0.05
    Convertible Notes 9 0.01
    Investment Sub-total 37 0.06
    Total Projects and Investments 365 0.58
    Cash Reconciliation
    Cash at 15/07/2010 133 0.21
    Cash Receivables MCC for CopperCo 88 0.14
    DMM Acquisition for Mayoko -32 -0.05
    Dividend Special capital return at 7c per share -44 -0.07
    Corporate outgoings -10 -0.02
    Cash Sub-total 135 0.22
    Total Valuation 500 0.80
    Size
    Figure 16. CFE Summary Valuation Table Source: DJC
    RECOMMENDATION

    We value CFE with a 12 month price target of $0.80 per share. We assume that within the next
    12-18 months, the value proposition presented by the Marampa and Mayoko deposits will
    become clear or cash has been realised for these project through asset sales. We also envisage
    that value for the Sappes Gold Project in Greece would have realised and other potential
    corporate transactions involving other assets in the CFE portfolio would have been advanced.

    The current share price equals CFE s cash, listed investments and cash receivables. Therefore
    CFE s considerable project portfolio is not given any value in the market. We believe this
    situation will be redressed and a re-rating will occur when asset sales begin to realise significant
    increases in cash on the balance sheet.
    On this basis and using the above project valuation assumptions, we initiate coverage on
    CFE with a Buy recommendation and a 12 month price target of $0.80 per share.

    Cheers
 
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