I think that is a very good description. Timing might be a little out but in general I think it is entirely possible.
there is however another possibility and that is the imposition of martial law with dissenters being quietly disposed of very early. Dissidents, illegals and intellectuals will be herded into camps to “keep them safe” and women will be forced out of the workforce to ensure men have the few jobs going. AI will be used to spread disinformation that lures dissidents into traps. Civil war will be attempted but stifled quickly and brutally by the thugs they support trump
oh this sounds like someone else’s playbook
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