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11/01/24
16:01
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Originally posted by Scott th Ratbag:
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thats your quote buddy... your words. its not justified. the BOM said that 24/25 summer was more likely to be drier. El Niño isn't directly associated with drought. but cooler water off the north coast does tend to result in less rain. BUT the climate is impacted by the Indian Ocean Dipole, which is +ve atm resulting in increased rainfall on the east, and the Southern Annular Mode which caused the flooding in Vic recently.
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I think you will find the BOM quoted thisOn 19 September, the Bureau of Meteorology formally announced an El Niño event for Australia during the 2023/2024 summer. This means that parts of Australia will likely experience warmer and drier conditions with minimal rainfall, increasing the risk of heatwaves and fire danger. https://www.sydney.edu.au/study/student-life/student-news/2023/11/20/the-bureau-of-meteorology-has-predicted-an-el-nino-this-summer-what-you-need-to-know.html#:~:text=On%2019%20September%2C%20the%20Bureau,of%20heatwaves%20and%20fire%20danger. It's getting fairly embarrasing for the climate gurus out there