STX 0.00% 19.5¢ strike energy limited

Analyst Notes and Price Targets, page-15

  1. 618
    3,370 Posts.
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    Goldman has maintained its 50c TP citing the pricing action yesterday as an overreaction.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5959/5959654-7b6fa09a86145d99b6f0cf49804a8643.jpg

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5959/5959659-0225788f22e7bb4f9093a6a3baf1d5b9.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5959/5959662-e4c87f50369ec6566aba41c7c230b011.jpg

    In addition, this is the first time I've seen P&L forecast going out as far as FY28. The revenue profile is quite similar to my DCF (so I am not as delusional as some may think) though the NPAT is quite a bit lower than my model, which I will analyse some other day.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5959/5959670-21de25dc6d95f88e66ce13afe1713ada.jpg

    Looking at the Risked NAV model, GS has assigned a 50% COS for OH while assigning what is effectively a 50% COS for the conversion of 271PJ 2C to 2P (they have done it by assigning 100% COS for half the resource). This looks far more reasonable and balanced in terms of risk discounts.

    618
 
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