PLL 7.32% 19.0¢ piedmont lithium inc.

Ann: Piedmont Lithium Reports Q4 & Full Year 2023 Results, page-12

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  1. 11,061 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3720
    Well for starters DF I'd say
    Current cash of ~US$120M (after sales of 100% of SYA and ~50% of A11)
    FY 24 (Jan - Dec) outlay at mid point ~$47M being
    ~$12M Capex on PLL 100% projects
    ~$35M for investments in (SYQ) and advances to (A11) affliates

    So right there PLL has $2.55 for every $1 expected in FY24 Capex

    But wait they have expenses right. So I'll just take the FY23 of US$43M of SG&A and reduce that by $10M from cutting expenses and layoffs

    So you could say they now have only ~$1.50 to cover a $1 of all-in-spend. Annualizing Q4 result is a bad idea given the necessary adjustments (do you really think -$500 ASP for SC5.5 is true reflection .... no because it had an adjustment to the much higher price recorded in Q3).

    Then there is the question of how much OCF comes from NAL ... been told that as PLL sells more shipments under its OTA with TSLA and LG pricing will stabilise versus spot currently. So Q4 was in the toilet and maybe Q1 stays there and unless you're rooting for Lithium to stay in the toilet for 2024, PLL will make good money via its OTA (especially TSLA which is based on Hydroxide).

    That'll do for starters

 
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