My take is that preliminary met work is like rock chip samples. It can be cherry picked, thus making things look better. Not to take away anything from those results thus far.
The benefit of the full met study is that we will have data on most if not all the the holes that go into delineating the MRE. A greater sample space gives us more confidence that we have the recovery rate right.
It's not all doom and gloom if our met study comes out lower than that 70-74%, however, it could come higher. That's why the boring and short answer to all my analysis above is that we really don't know till those results are released. My guess is either close to or after the MRE, but it could be before if they believe they have used enough data.
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