ALP drops 1 percent in primary, will this be a 1 term government?, page-23

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    Hi Jerry ,
    Have you noticed that the poll numbers are almost identical to what the numbers were at the last election .
    The cut and paste from wikipedia doesn't come out that well , but despite the tales of woe and gnashing of teeth, Labor has to make do with its winning election margin.
    Not as good as it has been , but has actually been worse and recovered.


    DateBrandInterview modeSample
    size
    Primary vote2pp vote[c]
    L/NPALPGRNONPUAPOTHUNDALPL/NP
    23 December 2022Andrew Geeleaves the Nationals to become an Independent
    16–18 December 2022Freshwater Strategy[96][97][98]Online1,20937%37%12%4%1%9%54%46%
    7–11 December 2022Essential[5]Online1,04230%35%13%6%3%17%5%51%44%
    30 November–4 December 2022Resolve Strategic[99][100]Online1,61130%42%11%4%2%8%60%40%
    30 November–3 December 2022Newspoll[101]Online1,50835%39%11%6%1%9%55%45%
    23–27 November 2022Essential[101][102]Online1,04231%33%13%17%6%51%43%
    27–30 October 2022Newspoll-YouGov[103]Online1,50035%38%11%6%1%9%55%45%
    26–30 October 2022Resolve Strategic[104][103]Online1,61132%39%13%4%1%11%57.4%[d]42.6%
    5–9 October 2022Resolve Strategic[105][106]Online1,60430%39%12%5%3%11%58.3%41.7%
    14–18 September 2022Resolve Strategic[107][108]Online1,60732%39%10%6%2%11%57%43%
    31 August–3 September 2022Newspoll-YouGov[109][110]Online1,50531%37%13.5%7%2%10%57%43%
    17–21 August 2022Resolve Strategic[111][112]Online2,01128%42%12%5%2%11%61.3%38.7%
    27–30 July 2022Newspoll-YouGov[113][114]Online1,50833%37%12%6%2%10%56%44%
    14–17 June 2022Dynata[115]Online1,00131%34%12%4%4%7%9%52.2%[e]47.8%
    13–19 June 2022Roy Morgan[116]Online/telephone1,40137%36%11%4%0.5%11.5%53%47%
    29 May 2022Peter Duttonelected unopposed asLeader of the Liberal Party[117]
    21 May 2022Election[118][119]35.7%32.6%12.2%5.0%4.1%10.4%52.1%47.9



 
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