3-4% swing against the ALP would be a win for Albo, given the average swing against Govts in byelections is 6-7%
Dutto would try to claim a win, but he’d be watching his back after the Aston disaster…
tAlp held Dunkley by about 6% in 2019
I reckon it’ll be close, within 2% either way
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Dunkley byelection, page-213
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Shanthar Pathmanathan, MD
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