Cowboy is quoting figures that do not apply to a by election in a labor held seat when there is a labor govt in Canberra. He is using average swings across all by elections. But that is not applicable to a labor seat in a labor govt.
The correct swing has been 8.2% against Labor according to Antony Green.
This is direct quote from Green.
At the eight by-elections in Labor seats during Labor governments, the average swing was 8.2%
https://antonygreen.com.au/background-on-federal-by-election-swings/
- Forums
- Political Debate
- Dunkley byelection
Dunkley byelection, page-677
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 78 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Featured News
The Watchlist
HAR
HARANGA RESOURCES LIMITED.
Peter Batten, MD
Peter Batten
MD
Previous Video
Next Video
SPONSORED BY The Market Online