I don't think the Russians want a mass break out event. They are happy to grind away and destroy Western military equipment and deplete ammo.
Bubbling away in the background is potential problems in the Balkans which would require NATO intervention if it blew. Serbian president warned of tough times https://www.thedailybeast.com/serbian-presidents-alarming-social-media-warning-stirs-mystery-in-europe
It appears to be about problem sin Srpska, the Serbian part of Bosnia https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/bosnian-serb-leader-dodik-threatens-block-national-government-2024-03-28/ which is looking to break away?????
I had never heard of this joint but its a large land and the map marking their boundaries is staggering. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republika_Srpska
I guess its just a matter of whether Serbia wants to endure more pain as the NATO air force would dominate but it would help Russia which has long been an ally of the Serbs.
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