"...- in putins perfect world an attack across the Suwalki gap separating..."
There's no evidence there was ever going to be an attack from Suwalki gap. So all of this is irrelevant.
"...not the case during war time (when it actually matters) - strategic loss to russia..."
NATO already had a presence in the Baltic sea, tangs. So all of this is irrelevant. Especially considering that you're talking about a hypothetical unrealistic scenario. Russian navy is free to move around the Baltic Sea. No strategic loss.
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Why Russia is so weak in the Ukraine War??, page-41
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