great post there mark7 whats the bet peter Zeihan calls himself an intellectual , In my expereince most who make that claim are intellectualy impudent , and probably qualify as members of the loony left as they are affectionatly known. Aust , NZ , UK , and a few other are all doomed as far as becoming sucessfull western capitalist democracys , India might getUP ...lol. can't figure out why the congo hasent made it yet or uganda..Hmmm I look up MR Zeihan see if I can get some clues.. he sounds like a genius ..