Hi Reg,
here's the background to that SWS speculation on Share Price vs Fair Value. Not sure I follow the discount rate calculation, or share their view of the Cost of Equity (seems to be 2.2% if I'm reading it right) - I think they have the wrong value in the Risk-Free Rate table cell.
I could be completely wrong on those points. And I'd love to know what assumption they're making on the timing of cash flows in 2024- 2025, which seem to make no allowance for scaleable production.
However, here's how they run their model:
Cheers,
GLTA(LT)H
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