BOT 1.35% 37.5¢ botanix pharmaceuticals ltd

BOT - Anything but charting, page-8468

  1. 2,543 Posts.
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    A number of Biotech e.g. MSB over 1.2bln Market Cap and not FDA on horizon...

    next 2-3 weeks - climb to 40c...45c - starts to sink in..

    Post FDA ..expecting a good run 60-100% - 70 to 80c level...

    Biggest gainers will be 12months after FDA to $2 or $3 based on Sales trajectory...

    Basically : 3% of 3.7mln and 1% of 6.3mln = 174 000 patients - very likely to hit in first 12 -18months...

    174 000 patients by 6 refills by usd 500net Revenue ( after sharing with distributors/ pharma / dermatologists) = Solid usd 520mln Net Revenue

    15x of that is usd 7.8bln or usd 5.2 per share price...


    People whi disagree with Fast rump up - can look at trajectory in Japan and to sleep quite divide my number by 2 and still get usd 2.6 per share...

    Remember refills and Japan still has 70% new patents every year..

 
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