If anyone does not understand what today's p=0.0154 means then please read below as this will clarify (for educational purpose)why todays result is statistically significant (in my opinion it is ground breaking)
The P-Value Approach to Hypothesis Testing
The p-value approach to hypothesis testing uses the calculated probability to determine whether there is evidence to reject the null hypothesis. This determination relies heavily on the test statistic, which summarizes the information from the sample relevant to the hypothesis being tested. The null hypothesis, also known as the conjecture, is the initial claim about a population (or data-generating process).
The alternative hypothesis states whether the population parameter differs from the value of the population parameter stated in the conjecture.In practice, the significance level is stated in advance to determine how small the p-value must be to reject the null hypothesis. Because different researchers use different levels of significance when examining a question, a reader may sometimes have difficulty comparing results from two different tests. P-values provide a solution to this problem.
Is a 0.05 P-Value Significant?
A p-value less than 0.05 is typically considered to be statistically significant, in which case the null hypothesis should be rejected. A p-value greater than 0.05 means that deviation from the null hypothesis is not statistically significant, and the null hypothesis is not rejected.
What Does a P-Value of 0.001 Mean?
A p-value of 0.001 indicates that if the null hypothesis tested were indeed true, then there would be a one-in-1,000 chance of observing results at least as extreme. This leads the observer to reject the null hypothesis because either a highly rare data result has been observed or the null hypothesis is incorrect.
How Can You Use P-Value to Compare 2 Different Results of a Hypothesis Test?
If you have two different results, one with a p-value of 0.04 and one with a p-value of 0.06, the result with a p-value of 0.04 will be considered more statistically significant than the p-value of 0.06. Beyond this simplified example, you could compare a 0.04 p-value to a 0.001 p-value. Both are statistically significant, but the 0.001 example provides an even stronger case against the null hypothesis than the 0.04.
The Bottom Line
The p-value is used to measure the significance of observational data. When researchers identify an apparent relationship between two variables, there is always a possibility that this correlation might be a coincidence. A p-value calculation helps determine if the observed relationship could arise as a result of chance.
Source: P-Value: What It Is, How to Calculate It, and Why It Matters By BRIAN BEERS Updated May 09, 2024Reviewed by ROBERT C. KELLYFact checked by YARILET PEREZ
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