HGO 0.00% 6.4¢ hillgrove resources limited

Ann: RIU Conference Presentation, page-54

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  1. VYR
    4,682 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3029
    A couple of observations from the presentation.

    Dividends:

    One of the headline selling points in Lachlans sales pitches for some time has been the first $250m of profit will be tax free but HGO does have $17.6m of franking credits to pay a $50m dividend franked @25%

    2.5 c a share is a small part of the free cash flow thats forecast but a very nice dividend on 6.8c. With many more to come.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6255/6255934-c8250f126ef8e0c40af36e0a0277367a.jpg


    Ramp up:

    The presentation also tells us that June and July plant throughput is forecast to be a bit lower than May. It doesn't give a feed grade forecast so not much in terms of copper production can be drawn from that.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6256/6256004-9a85801731fa1e433fa4d6c3309b1720.jpg

    Lowering the cut off grade:

    It also gives us the heads up on how lowering the cut off grade will affect the feed grade and quantities of ore mined.

    At a 0.6% cut off the old MRE that was used in the EA had 5.7mt at 1.1% cu

    Dropping the cut off grade to 0.4% increases the tonnage to 9.3mt at 0.9% cu

    Thats a 63% increase.

    So we could see annual through put rise from 1.4m tonnes to 2.282 mt

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6256/6256022-56acf6a7d5aebab56a5f9c3d16838632.jpg

    The numbers:

    For those interested in numbers my spread sheet has three sections so I can determine the cu price that is needed to lower the cut off grade to 0.5% and 0.4%.

    When I get a chance I will see what dropping the cut off grade does to cash flow. 2.3mt is more than 50% capacity so they would have to operate the processing plant 9 days on and 5 days off to process that quantity of lower grades.


 
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