MIN 1.91% $52.79 mineral resources limited

Ann: Yilgarn Hub Update, page-32

  1. 5,756 Posts.
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    $200m is deferred until they achieve a 35mtpa run rate over a whole qtr and $100m is the tax/other costs associated with the sale.

    also check out what cliffs had estimated as the rehab closure costs before min saved its bacon. $220m back in 2018. What would it be now?
    https://thewest.com.au/business/min...rly-exit-from-koolyanobbing-ng-b88844808z.amp

    there’s also a $200m payment it needs to make on July 1 as per a recent ann. Then the tenements purchased from bci..

    Net debt was $3.5b as at 31 Dec but only $1.9b June 30 2023. Avg debt in this CY so far would be substantially greater than last year which means the interest costs of $167m for HY ending Dec 2023 would be dwarfed in this HY ending 30 June 2024.

    then you have IO being 16% lower in Mar qtr than Dec qtr (according to min quarterly for March 2024). Pilbara and yilgarn made $34 and $26 ebitda per tonne respectively in HY Dec 23 (as per presentation). EBITDA would be marginal at best in this HY and there’s still an other 6 months at yilgarn to go irrespective of whether it is making a loss or not.

    The underlying npat was $196m for Hy Dec 2023. Lithium is much worse off now than the avg price realised during the last HY

    Even $196m for HY gives it a massive p/e at the current share price.

    I can tell you what I think it’s worth. Let’s just say I believe it was in a stronger position when it launched the takeover offer of AGO.
    Last edited by scrabble1: 21/06/24
 
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